13/05/2018. Premier League (England). Last game week bets.

The last game week of English Premier League is coming. Everything has been already well-known, and only Chelsea can try to get into Champions League (instead of League Europe) if it overcomes Liverpool (Liverpool is going to play at current Champions League final, and the gap between Liverpool and Chealsea is 2 points).

Consequently, the teams will make their own fun and it means that in the matches it will be more goals as usual. Last year the team of corner-stats.com told you about tendencies of the last game week (https://corner-stats.com/the-last-round-in-premier-league-of-ukraine-31-05-2017-goals/info/177). This time we will pay attention again to total goals over 3.5 in the matches.

For this task, select all seasons on the tournament page. Select 38th game week only and sort given results on the quantity of matches in order to understand which teams systematically play with total over in the last game week of a season:

So, such teams are Arsenal, Tottenham, Manchester United, Chelsea, Manchester City, Stoke City, Sunderland (left the Premier League, and this season plays in Championship), West Brom, Newcastle United and West Ham United.

Arsenal plays at away with Huddersfield Town. Pinnacle offers total goals over 3.5 at 2.28 odds for this match. It should be mentioned that this will be a farewell match for Arsene Wenger, and there is an opinion that the club's players want to make for it a bright goodbye gift in the form of a crushing victory, especially since Arsenal won the last match against Huddersfield with 5:0 score.

Tottenham plays at home with Lester. Pinnacle gives for this match total goals over 3.5 goals at 2.10 odds. Last season 2016/17 at the penultimate game week on 18/05/2017, Tottenham beat Leicester at  away with 6:1 score, so 4 goals will not be a problem for this match. To keep third place for sure Tottenham needs a victory, because in case of defeat, it can drop to the 4th place.

Manchester United plays at home with Watford. Pinnacle offers for this match total goals over 3.5 goals at 2.54 odds. Manchester is the silver medalist of EPL, and this is already a fact. But the last two games it has played with unpleasant results (defeat and draw). Team of the site corner-stats.com believes that Manchester will win this match undoubtedly with many goals scored, rehabilitating in front of the fans.

Chelsea plays at away with Newcastle. Bet365 gives for this match total goals over 3.5 at 3.00 odds. Chelsea needs to win, because in case of the defeat of Liverpool, Chelsea will play in Champions League 2018/19. Since 2015, Newcastle has never defeated Chelsea, and in the last three N2H matches, Chelsea have scored 3 or more goals. Therefore, corner-stats.com site considers 3.00 odds for total goals over 3.5 to be very good option for betting.

Manchester City is the champion of 2017/18 and plays at away with Southampton. Pinnacle offers for this match total goals over 3.5 at 2.34 odds. If to take to attention H2H matches (5 out of 11 total goals over 3.5), and for similar matches for Manchester City (6 out of 11 in the 2016-2018 season), the odds show value.

Stoke City (flying out of the Premier League) plays at away with another outsider in Swansey City, but the teams rarely score a lot of goals in their matches. And although Bet365 gives total goals over 3.5 at 2.75 odds for this match, cornerstats.com team doesn’t recommend to bet on this match on total goals over 3.5 goals at 2.75 odds.

West Bromwich Albion (flew out of the Premier League) plays away with Crystal Palace. Bet365 offers for this match total goals over 3.5 at 2.75 odds. West Brom has the highest overall total in the last game week of all seasons that is equal to 4.71 goal per match, and they play the last match in the Premier League, so they want to please fans with few goals. For Crystal Palace this match also doesn’t change anything, respectively the team will try to show beautiful football at home.

West Ham United plays at home with Everton. Bet365 gives for this match total goals over 3.5 at 3.00 odds. For both teams this match already doesn’t mean anything. And although West Hemu needs rehabilitation for the last (29/11/2017) largest Everton’s failure of the year with 4: 0 score. Similar matches don’t show valuability at 3 odds for total goals over 3.5 for both teams in the 2016-2018 seasons:

- West Ham (2 out of 10 similar home matches in the league) and

- Everton (1 of 12 similar away matches in the league).

So corner-stats.com team doesn’t recommend to bet on this match with total goals over 3.5 at 3.00 odds, considering that the match will end with a draw, or with one goal difference.